When a country's international competitiveness in the world market and the country's industrial and economic superiority becomes apparent, the country is required to make appropriate policy changes for the sake of its own economy and the world economy. If no suitable policy change is made, the balance of the world economy will be destroyed and this will ultimately be a severe blow to the economy of the country in question. However, historically, such a policy is apt to be overcomed by events. Japan's slowness in changing its policy in recent years represents one such case.
Japan now enjoys by far the biggest current account surplus by international standards and this is a serious threat to the world economy. In order to remove the threat, many demands have been made of the country. Yet, Japan has not been quick in responding to such demands. The country has actively initiated a series of economic measures: early implementation of the market-opening action program, promotion of domestic demands, and coordinated intervention to correct the overvalued dollar. These were in respond to the announcement by US President Ronald Reagan's New Trade Policy and the meeting of Finance Ministers from five industrialized countries in September 1985. These measures should have been put into practice much earlier.
The United States in the 1920s is one historical example of failure in initiating a similar and necessary policy change when its economic advantage was assured in the world market. In those days the US was the largest and strongest economy in the world but it raised its tariff barriers and ignored the intensification of grave difficulties which the world economy was facing after the First World War. It must be pointed out that this mistake on the part of the United States obviously contributed to the Depression.
Professor Walt W. Rostow, the well-known US economic historian, referred to this bitter mistake in a lecture in Tsukuba City, Japan, early last year. He said: “The difficulty at the turning point which Japan is now experiencing resembles well one which the United States met after World War I.” He pointed out how important it is for Japan, a newly-rising economic power, to get rid of its previous image and practices and to play a leading role in the world economy and meet its inescapable responsibilities.
Clearly, Japan is required to play an active role in the development of the world economy. It is the Free World's second largest economy and now has the same role North American and European countries perform in the world economy. It should not simply respond passively to the movements of the world economy. In this sense, as Professor Rostow pointed out, Japan is now at a major turning point. And, as mentioned earlier, the most urgent matter now is for Japan to reduce its large current account surplus. Various types of imbalances and many serious problems in the world economy can partly be attributed to Japan's surplus. The country must do its best to expand domestic demand, open its markets, reform its economic structure and seriously pursue a global solution through coordinated multi-lateral management of the world economy in cooperation with the United States, the EC and other countries in the world. No valuable time must be lost and we must be very cautious about the rise of economic nationalism.
The purpose of this article is to inquire from these perspectives and in the light of the British experience in the 19th century and the American experience in the 1920s, the problem of policy changes which are required of an industrially and economically strong country such as Japan. This article will also criticize Japanese economic policy in the 1970-80s when the American postwar economic hegemony gradually declined.
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