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Divided opposition boosts Lukashenka's re-election bid

Tuesday, July 28, 2015

Significance

The failure of opposition parties to agree a joint candidate -- and calls for an election boycott by some -- pave the way for President Alexander Lukashenko to win a fifth successive term.

Impacts

  • For now, Lukashenka will remain beholden to Moscow as his main source of economic aid and political support.
  • However, Belarus will increasingly court Chinese and South Asian investment to lessen reliance on Russia.
  • Lukashenka's election campaign will stress need for continuity and highlight Belarus as a bastion of stability compared to Ukraine.

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