A statistical approach based on accumulated degree-days to predict decomposition-related processes in forensic studies

J Forensic Sci. 2011 Jan;56(1):229-32. doi: 10.1111/j.1556-4029.2010.01559.x. Epub 2010 Sep 20.

Abstract

Using pig carcasses exposed over 3 years in rural fields during spring, summer, and fall, we studied the relationship between decomposition stages and degree-day accumulation (i) to verify the predictability of the decomposition stages used in forensic entomology to document carcass decomposition and (ii) to build a degree-day accumulation model applicable to various decomposition-related processes. Results indicate that the decomposition stages can be predicted with accuracy from temperature records and that a reliable degree-day index can be developed to study decomposition-related processes. The development of degree-day indices opens new doors for researchers and allows for the application of inferential tools unaffected by climatic variability, as well as for the inclusion of statistics in a science that is primarily descriptive and in need of validation methods in courtroom proceedings.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Diptera
  • Entomology
  • Feeding Behavior
  • Forensic Anthropology
  • Forensic Pathology
  • Models, Animal
  • Postmortem Changes*
  • Regression Analysis*
  • Seasons
  • Swine
  • Temperature*